reCap Blog

reCap Blog


Clear and actionable insights on wealth management from Capital Advisors, Ltd.

By Zach Abrams 01 Mar, 2023
It seems crazy that the S&P 500 is closing in on an all-time high, given what transpired the first part of the year with the pandemic and the market down about -35%. Yet here we are. However, when you look under the hood the positive performance is relatively narrow with a few asset classes leading the way. Of note, Large Growth companies are carrying stock market returns. An easy way to see this is through the performance of the S&P 500, which is a market cap weighted index (i.e. larger companies make up a larger % of the index) versus an Equal Weight S&P 500 (i.e. larger companies make up an equal % of the index as smaller companies). Historically the Equal Weight index has offered higher returns over the Market Cap Index over longer time periods, but not this year. Additionally, all other major equity asset classes outside of Large Growth have trailed the S&P 500. These include: Large Value, Mid Caps, Small Caps, Developed Markets, Emerging Markets, REITs, and Commodities. While Small Caps and International (and to a lesser extent Large Value) have picked up performance the last few months, the trend is still clear – Large Growth is dominating this market. There is a Bear and Bull way to look at this. Bear = returns are concentrated so if/when Large Growth retreats it will take the market with it. Bull = plenty of room for the laggards like Large Value, Small Caps, etc. to catch up even if/when Growth retreats. Along the way to the bull or bear case, the market should provide some clues as to which way it’s heading. For now, I side with the Bull camp. I feel that despite higher broad market valuations, presuming there is no second large-scale shutdown and a vaccine gets to market in the next 6 to 8 months, we could see the more cyclical parts of the market start to rally.
By Zach Abrams 14 Feb, 2023
Over long time periods stocks have delivered around 6%+ REAL returns (accounting for inflation). Additionally, the longer the time horizon the more predictable those returns get – the range between the Max and Min returns narrows and % Positive and over 4% increases. S&P 500 Real Total Returns
By Zachary Abrams 13 Sep, 2022
In June, Ohio’s legislature passed SB 246 which provides a potential work around for the $10,000 state and local tax (SALT) deduction cap imposed by the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017. With the signing of this legislation, Ohio joins 22 other states that have enacted a direct pass-through entity (Direct PTE) level tax. This workaround allows qualifying pass-through entities to make an annual election to pay an entity-level state income tax for taxable years beginning on or after January 1, 2022.
By Nathan Creviston 01 Jun, 2021
With the lifetime estate tax exemption of $11.7M scheduled to expire December 31, 2025 (or sooner if proposed by legislation) and return to the inflation adjusted 2010 rate of approximately $6.4M, a SLAT can be an effective estate planning tool. Married couples can capture the lifetime exemption before it is reduced, minimize estate taxes and/or protect their assets from creditors. A SLAT is an irrevocable trust in which one spouse (donor spouse) makes a gift to a trust for the benefit of the other spouse (non-donor spouse) and often children and grandchildren. It is most generally established as a means of utilizing the lifetime exemption with the goal of freezing the value of those assets and excluding the growth from the donor’s estate. In other words, all growth of those assets post transfer is excluded from estate tax exposure while the donor retains limited indirect access to the assets. One spouse may choose to fund a SLAT for the benefit of the other spouse, or each spouse may choose to fund a SLAT for the benefit of the other. As is the case with all gifting which is intended to reduce estate tax, I believe the best assets to transfer are those with the greatest potential for growth. Why would you do it: Opportunity to use the lifetime exemption while it is at an all-time high: use it or lose it. The IRS finalized rules last year saying that it would not claw back lifetime gifts if/when the exemption is lowered (referring to it rolling back after 2025 to the 2010 level plus inflation). It is an effective estate freeze technique in removing growth from the taxable estate as all future growth is removed from the estates of both spouses. Non-donor spouse has direct access, which gives the donor indirect access. However, conservative practitioners recommend the non-donor spouse not request distributions from the SLAT unless it is necessary to maintain the non-donor spouse’s accustomed standard of living after considering other available resources. Can be effective intergenerational planning tool. In other words, it can be a dynasty trust passing assets down generations to avoid estate taxes at each generation. Typically, it is a Grantor Trust, so no additional tax return is required to be filed while the donor is alive. Provides asset protection from creditors, the degree to which depends on the provisions of the Trust. What risks and factors should you consider? Death: At the death of non-donor spouse, the donor spouse loses indirect access. Divorce: In the event of divorce, the donor spouse loses indirect access. Tax Basis: No step up in basis. As is the case with all gifts the recipient receives carry-over basis. However, the Trustee can have right to swap assets at a later date in exchange for higher basis property. Exclusive Ownership: The transferred asset must be exclusively owned by donor, not jointly. Reciprocal Trust Doctrine: You must make sure the Trusts don’t violate the Reciprocal Trust Doctrine. Two trusts which are considered constructively similar or interrelated violate this doctrine risking the IRS pulling all the assets and growth back into the donor’s estate. Some differences may include creating and funding the trusts on different dates/years, including different classes of beneficiaries, providing different terms for distributions to beneficiaries, giving beneficiaries different rights of withdrawal, or granting beneficiaries the power to change beneficiaries under certain restrictions. I have clients where both spouses have SLAT’s. Other thoughts: Non-donor spouse can serve as Trustee with limited powers to distribute. It’s a best practice to have a non-beneficiary serve as co-Trustee to avoid potential estate inclusion. It should be looked at in the same context as funding an Offshore Asset Protection Trust – which isn’t an estate tax planning tool but has some of the same limitations regarding lifetime distributions. These distributions should be considered assets of last resort, not to mention you defeat the purpose by taking distributions. Additionally, if it appears you have completely unfettered access, you risk the IRS collapsing it. In summary, SLATs are currently a means to make irrevocable transfers, use lifetime exemption which may be getting reduced even before December 31st, 2025, freeze the value of assets in your estate, and maintain limited access to these assets if need be.
24 Sep, 2023
Retirement Investors are finally getting good returns from the "safest assets in the world" For a long time, cash had so little returns that baby boomers had no choice but to invest more in riskier stocks as they approached retirement to get the yields they needed. But since the Federal Reserve started jacking up its benchmark interest rate , that’s shifting and cash investments are seeing some of the largest yields in more than decade. The average online savings account return is now 4.39%, according to DepositAccounts.com . The average yield on an online, one-year certificate of deposit, or CD , is now 5.10%, while the one-year Treasury bill is yielding 5.46%. Financial advisers are taking that into consideration as they help manage the portfolios of their retired clients and those closing in on retirement. But while many expressed enthusiasm for the new options that cash investments offer, these advisers also cautioned that stocks still play an integral part in an investor’s retirement portfolio. "While short-term investment products, like money markets and CDs, can play a role in portfolios, it may be difficult to build a longer-term portfolio allocation around them as short-term interest rates can fluctuate as monetary policy changes," said Adam Reinert, chief investment officer and COO at Marshall Financial Group. "Though with higher interest rates on intermediate-term debt, investors may not have to be as dependent on equity allocations to do as much of the heavy lifting for portfolios as they did from 2010-2019." What are they buying and for whom? Jordan Benold, a financial planner from Benold Financial Planning, said his firm previously advised clients who were in retirement or near it to invest in "riskier income assets like preferred stock, corporate bonds, and REITs to increase their income. "Now, he is recommending six-month Treasury bills "simply because they pay the most.""There is no reason to take that risk when one of the safest assets in the world is paying 5.5%," he said. "Also, I am having my younger clients invest a small portion into T-bills for their bond allocation. This is not a large percentage, but once again, it will provide the insurance they need if the stock market decreases and will pay a high coupon. "Certificates of deposit, in particular, can benefit near-retirees and current retirees alike. Malcolm Ethridge, executive vice president at CIC Wealth, noted that CDs with six- to 12-month maturities are a strong investment for retirees who have already begun drawing income from their portfolio. Pre-retirees, concerned that they might be retiring into a recession, can "de-risk their portfolio" by moving a couple years' worth of expenses into cash via a brokered CD, he said, allowing them "to weather any potential storm while entering retirement."We have been buying more brokered CDs on behalf of our clients in the last seven or eight months than at any other period in my career," Ethridge said. In the last year and a half, Holzberg Wealth Management has been shifting client portfolios to CD ladders with minimal risk. CD ladders are when financial planners use multiple CDs with different maturity dates. If interest rates continue to rise, the firm plans to reinvest the near-term CD funds into ones with longer maturities, which increases the overall yield, said Marcus Holzberg, a certified financial planner at the firm. "If interest rates fall, the same strategy can continue or be redeployed to other market opportunities," he said. "In other words, it's a win-win." What about stocks? Stocks, though, still play an important role in portfolios. For roughly the last 40 years, net growth from cash was reduced to zero after subtracting inflation and taxes, founder and principal at Daniel J. Galli & Associates, said. "In order to have real buying power growth, dollars need to earn more than what they can in cash," he said. "Historically stocks have delivered this ...The price we pay is volatility. But over long periods of time stocks have generally delivered real buying power growth." Jon Ulin, CEO of Ulin & Co. Wealth Management, also pointed out that the Federal Reserve will eventually cut rates — though maybe not for a few years given this week’s Fed meeting — bringing them back to where they began last year. "While it may be sensible to position a couple years of cash reserves in low-risk, high-yield cash instruments and buckets," he said, "investors will better benefit over time by staying diversified, rebalancing, and buying low into stocks and bonds for their long-term retirement accounts and not give up potential gains around the turnover of the next bull market." Risk-free can still be risky Cash also offers fewer benefits in the long term. "Time is a crucial factor when considering long-term investing, whether you are in or nearing retirement," Ulin said. "The longer your investment horizon, the more you can benefit from the market's historical tendency to recover from declines and deliver substantial returns over the long haul." Folks can also underestimate the length of their retirement and subsequently the need for the historically bigger returns stocks deliver over cash. "The time horizon for a retiree is still 20-30-plus years. In today’s interest rate environment, if you were to construct a 20/80 portfolio in fear of equity risk, then any gains you’d have in the fixed-income portion would just be eroded by inflation," said Nate Creviston, Manager at Capital Advisors Ltd. "You still need to have a balanced approach to your asset allocation through retirement." Stocks are also up year to date. The S&P 500 index (^GSPC) is up 12.5%, while the Nasdaq (^IXIC) has increased 26.2% since the beginning of the year. Consequently, folks should weigh the risks and benefits of cash, said Constantine Tsantes, a financial planner at Cetera Advisor Networks LLC. "In the long run, you are only going to miss out on the upside, like what we have seen in equities this year," Tsantes said. "If retirement is around the bend, sure we can allocate to more fixed-income investments, but there is really no need to keep more than two to five years of expenses set aside in those investments."
02 Jun, 2023
Pay down your mortgage. Keep a 60/40 stock-bond portfolio. Some money rules are meant to be broken. Published: May 26, 2023 at 7:25 a.m. ET Morey Stettner
01 Mar, 2023
How Model Portfolios Work in The Real World: Advisors' Advice Written by: Dinah Wisenberg Brin Model portfolios continue to gain ground with financial advisors, who can select from a growing number of models to help manage their clients’ investments. Almost $350 billion in assets sat in model portfolios as of March 2022, a 22% increase over the prior nine months, Morningstar reported in June. The research firm’s database covered more than 2,500 models as of November 2022, more than double the amount two years earlier. ThinkAdvisor recently asked advisors to tell us how model portfolios fit, or don’t fit, into their businesses. We asked: How and why do you use model portfolios in your business? Do you employ one family/one product group/one series with different asset allocations? Or a wide variety of them? What are the pros and cons of model portfolio use? Clearly, there’s no one answer or approach that covers all practitioners. Here’s what five advisors told us about their work with (or without) model portfolios. Erik Nero, founder and president, First Step Wealth Planning LLC: I use them for pretty much all of the implementation for the investment management for my clients. I say almost all simply because for client portfolios that need a little more customization specifically for non-IRA or retirement type accounts, I’m going to work on that a little more closely with the client to take a little bit more action between the client and myself to get that implemented. But for portfolios that are typically retirement-based and are for a longer-term time horizon, models work perfectly. They are scalable, they have the opportunity to leverage tremendous resources on behalf of whatever firm is offering them, and then the trading resources are second to none. So for small firms such as mine I’m able to leverage tools and resources that I ordinarily would not be able to gain access to with respect to the trading and implementation of these portfolios, and it gets done seamlessly. So it saves me time to help my clients on what really matters to them, which is how that money’s going to support their goals, dreams and aspirations, and I use a number of different types of providers. I’ve narrowed it down to three. There’s so many out there and at the end of the day it really comes down to asset allocation, and that’s going to drive the vast majority of the performance, and I like to have low-cost exchange-traded fund types of portfolios that are put in place. So I believe more passively but strategically indexing to the various aspects of the market so that my clients can participate rather than anticipate the market. The pros obviously are the scalability, access to the resources and the brain trusts of the firms that are putting them together so I can really leverage my time and resources. The cons are it may come down to one size fits all. I use a number of different types of allocations based upon time horizon and tummy tolerance that each client has, but it’s hard to use half sizes, if you will, with these types of portfolios. So it takes a little bit of creativity with respect to what types of models are going to be employed in which types of accounts to get to an allocation that’s going to be perfect for that client. Kyle Simmons, lead financial planner, Simmons Investment Management: I do use a model portfolio in my business. Many advisors outsource model portfolio creation to a TAMP (turnkey asset management program) or use one from a model marketplace provided by their custodian. I personally have my own model portfolio that I review monthly and make changes to maybe once or twice a year. Having a model portfolio allows me to actualize my investment philosophy and best investment ideas into a single cohesive portfolio and implement it across my entire client base. It’s important that advisors don’t get too attached to their model, as clients will come in with legacy holdings and you want to be able to make investment decisions with tax consequences in mind. For every incoming holding, I evaluate the cost basis and assign an equivalent holding in my model. Sometimes that legacy holding will be a highly appreciated individual stock that selling would have serious tax consequences. Other times the holding will be a low-cost ETF that’s equivalent to a position in my model and it could make sense to continue to hold that fund going forward. Another common deviation from the model is for clients with 401(k)s that have limited investment options. In these cases, advisors need to determine how they can implement their models within that limited subset of options. My model does tend to use ETFs from a single family (Vanguard), but it also contains funds from other families such as from iShares and SPDR. I think it’s important to be open to the best options for the sectors you want to target, but also understand that certain families tend to provide more value. The number one pro is the ability to implement your best ideas across an entire client base. For those that outsource, I’m sure they appreciate taking part of the investment management piece off their plate in terms of the amount of research that is needed to do a good job as a fiduciary. The con is simply the potential to be over-reliant on a model and selling client assets just to move them into it. If this happens, the client’s investments could be jerked around and result in significant taxes and trading costs, which reduce their overall performance. Jan Pevzner, principal, Gotham Block LLC: A model portfolio is a good starting point for a "generic" client. If you don't have an in-house investment management team, starting with a model portfolio will save you a lot of time. Once you have a model, you can customize it by adjusting the specific exposures built into the model to the household you are working with. Suppose your client is in tech and has a significant employer equity grant . It could be options, RSUs (restricted stock units) or other forms of equity. In that case, reducing the portfolio's allocation to technology might make sense to balance off the overall exposure. I work with several models from the same provider, Vanguard, which offers different series that each can be adjusted for a client's risk tolerance to produce a custom model. The model's choice depends on the portfolio's size, the degree of customization required, and the location of the assets. A simple model with fewer components is best for clients with simple portfolios. Other clients might need more complex allocations with finer control over the factors they are exposed to. For example, two separate ETFs for value and growth instead of single equity ETF will let you increase your exposure to value stocks. The pros are that they save time and allow you to deliver quality products to your clients. The cons are that those model portfolios are generic and inflexible and don't consider a specific client's financial situation. Jon Ulin, CEO of Ulin & Co. Wealth Management: For the past two decades, our independent advisory firm has provided clients with a fee-based, model-driven approach to asset management with a fiduciary focus. Our clients pay for and expect us to deliver management of their portfolios in addition to comprehensive planning, both not typically provided by advisors outsourcing management to Robo-advisors, back-office wirehouse offerings or third-party managers. Do you employ one family or series? It is prudent to research, screen and utilize investments across different companies as there are over 10,000 different mutual funds, ETFs and index funds across a vast array of asset classes, sectors, styles, countries and factors. In the active management space, it can be difficult to find companies where every manager in their provided line up meets or exceeds their benchmarks. ... In the passive index and ETF space, different firms may offer variations of various benchmarks, sectors or styles that may include unique strategies such as smart-beta, low-vol, equally weighted and socially responsible funds that may additionally involve a combination of human or quant overlays. Pros and cons of model portfolio use? Strategic model portfolios provide a structure for asset allocation and diversification like building a foundation for a house based on each individual clients' specific risk tolerances and financial goals to help minimize volatility and provide a smoother, more consistent ride over time. It is a more pragmatic, efficient and scalable tactic for advisors to utilize model portfolios with active and passive fund strategies for long-term investors rather than taking the time or having the know-how to research and trade individual securities while attempting to create customized portfolios for each client. Caveat emptor when investing on your own, or when partnering with an advisor utilizing robo-platforms, “back office” wirehouse model offerings or third-party model portfolio managers. Many of these programs have been incepted just over the past 5-10 years and may not have a long track record or really been tested through major crashes recessions like the dot-com or Great Recession crash. At the same time, many of these new programs may provide a better approach than doing it yourself or in some cases, a less experienced advisor. Nate Creviston, Manager, Wealth Management and Portfolio Analysis, Capital Advisors Ltd.: We do not use model portfolios so hopefully this can offer some insight to the other side of the question. We believe that each client deserves a completely customized portfolio that is unique to their needs, goals, risk tolerance and risk capacity. A limitation to this practice is that this is a much more time-intensive portfolio management style as we can’t complete large block trades, or have the portfolio managed by a robo-advisor, but we believe that the client deserves a unique portfolio. A downside to the model portfolio is the lack of tax awareness. Over the past couple of years we were able to tactically tax-loss harvest in our accounts without initiating large block trades that might adversely affect a subsection of our client base. For example, if you have two clients who own the same stock, but one bought it at $50 and the other bought it at $100, and the stock is currently trading at $75, then the same tax loss harvesting trade cannot be done in both accounts. In most model portfolios, you would need to decide whether to execute the trade for both clients or for neither client; typically, these choices are mutually exclusive. It often occurs where you have a client with a large real estate portfolio outside of their investment accounts for example. We believe that needs to be taken into consideration when constructing that client's portfolio. In a model portfolio, you still might allocate 2%-5% into REITs due to their risk tolerance and time horizon without considering the overexposure to real estate both the private and public sector. In that circumstance, we would tactically under allocate their real estate exposure in their investment accounts.
Show More

Search the Blog


Subscribe to the Blog


About the Writers



Share by: